Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.140678 0.160379 0.182673 0.209937 0.242609 0.280790 0.329210
2025-04-20 0.109347 0.134742 0.166560 0.210069 0.269168 0.348397 0.465777
2025-04-27 0.091849 0.119815 0.157627 0.214040 0.298928 0.427002 0.645799
2025-05-04 0.080049 0.109137 0.150894 0.217778 0.327524 0.511338 0.870168
2025-05-11 0.071834 0.101588 0.146512 0.223019 0.358645 0.608966 1.165929
2025-05-18 0.064881 0.094568 0.141316 0.225213 0.384401 0.705414 1.515337
2025-05-25 0.059103 0.088400 0.136245 0.226171 0.407623 0.805144 1.940184
2025-06-01 0.053979 0.082532 0.130641 0.224795 0.425526 0.900247 2.428446
2025-06-08 0.049359 0.076899 0.124565 0.221205 0.437593 0.986547 2.969746
2025-06-15 0.046726 0.074312 0.123498 0.227255 0.473020 1.150376 3.974871
2025-06-22 0.043138 0.069642 0.117941 0.222871 0.482234 1.244785 4.822066
2025-06-29 0.040723 0.066816 0.115504 0.224763 0.508017 1.405059 6.258434
2025-07-06 0.037968 0.063150 0.111087 0.221692 0.520606 1.532418 7.798009
2025-07-13 0.036137 0.061041 0.109548 0.225120 0.553132 1.756741 10.625063
2025-07-20 0.034652 0.059442 0.108847 0.230465 0.593592 2.046192 15.119657
2025-07-27 0.033218 0.057799 0.107843 0.234877 0.633089 2.368472 21.735298
2025-08-03 0.032018 0.056502 0.107420 0.240743 0.680124 2.777725 32.848254
2025-08-10 0.030666 0.054773 0.105834 0.243190 0.716429 3.172889 48.520237
2025-08-17 0.029333 0.052969 0.103873 0.244255 0.748449 3.586008 72.161864
2025-08-24 0.027946 0.050940 0.101176 0.242740 0.770167 3.964758 105.130958
2025-08-31 0.026525 0.048732 0.097838 0.238781 0.780741 4.283720 148.637931
2025-09-07 0.025829 0.048017 0.097984 0.245454 0.840849 5.109540 289.081991
2025-09-14 0.024550 0.045945 0.094627 0.240619 0.846988 5.473345 433.983966